At present, the domestic economy has entered a new normal, and the international oil price has fallen, which has slammed the enthusiasm of domestic natural gas vehicles, especially the promotion of LNG vehicles. The LNG automobile industry has been challenged as never before. LNG is an ultra-low temperature (-162) frozen liquid natural gas with a volume of 1/625 of its gaseous form and its main component is methane. Compared with traditional gasoline and diesel, the emission of harmful substances from automobile exhaust using LNG can be reduced by more than 90%, making it a veritable clean energy vehicle.
As China's auto market continues to expand, automobile exhaust emissions are increasingly becoming an important factor in urban air pollution, especially in the formation of haze weather. Optimizing fuel structure, promoting the application of clean and efficient high-quality fuels, especially the development of low-carbon transportation, is imminent. The development of LNG vehicles has become an important option.
However, due to the continuous decline in crude oil prices, the economics of LNG vehicles continued to be impacted. Although the number of LNG vehicles in China still maintained growth, the growth rate showed a significant decline. Some industry insiders expected the car market to perform poorly in 2015.
“In 2014, due to the continuous downward adjustment of crude oil and domestic gasoline and diesel prices, the economic performance of LNG vehicles was affected, LNG heavy truck sales were blocked, and the number of LNG vehicles in China declined. As of the first half of 2015, the cumulative sales of LNG buses reached 5,296 vehicles, and LNG heavy trucks during the same period. The sales volume is 8,469. It is estimated that the number of LNG vehicles in China will be 205,000 in 2015, and the growth rate will decrease by 20.82%. Zhuo Chuang Information Gas Industry analyst Yan said.
Under the influence of the continued decline in refined oil prices, natural gas vehicles have lost their price advantage. Sun Xiaodi, assistant general manager of Huagang Gas Group, pointed out that at present, the price of LNG and diesel prices are basically the same. Some large logistics companies facing the replacement of vehicles have considered switching to diesel vehicles. The development of LNG vehicles is more difficult. The phenomenon is more common.
According to 郄婧, as of the first half of 2015, China's LNG transport tankers reached 7,300. It is estimated that the number of LNG transport tank cars will reach more than 7,500 in 2015, an increase of 7.13% year-on-year, which is significantly lower than the growth rate of 34.56% in 2014. The main reason for the slowdown in the growth rate of tank trucks is that the profitability of logistics companies is not good, and logistics companies have stopped tank trucks and sold at low prices.
Yao Mingde, honorary president of China Road Transport Association, once pointed out that although the price advantage of natural gas is still unshakable in the short term, the price advantage will be further weakened in the long run. The price of natural gas for vehicles can be profitable if it is about 65% of diesel, and once it reaches 75% of diesel price, the cost advantage of LNG vehicles will be lost.
Under this circumstance, many enterprises that are eager to reverse the status quo are more eager to strengthen the development environment. Some experts said that it is hoped that the government's financial department will set up a special fund for the promotion of LNG vehicles as a strong backing. In the environment of persistently low oil prices, the implementation of oil and gas linkages for LNG filling stations can not only improve the living space of gas stations under low oil prices, but also regulate the price confusion of downstream prices.
However, the characteristics of China's LNG transportation energy industry development are driven by the people. The LNG transportation energy industry initiated and led by enterprises has developed far faster than the country's overall planning, standard setting, and even optimistic estimates of the industry, which has caused the lag of relevant policies, industry supervision and standards. However, it is not easy to develop a set of effective incentives.
"To develop clean energy, the country must definitely experience a certain period of pain. Now it is actually a transformation. In the short term, the LNG vehicle market does encounter bottlenecks, but in the long run, with the constant encouragement of the state, There should be some expectation. For the subsidy policy, each region may have different economic conditions and different needs. Therefore, it is not very realistic to make a subsidy in general, and it takes time." Zhu Yingxin, a natural gas analyst at Treasure Island, told the reporter of China Sankei Shimbun.
Some experts pointed out that the relevant government departments should first strengthen the cultivation of the LNG automobile market, further clarify the development goals, formulate scientific and feasible development plans, adapt local conditions and guide the situation, and prioritize the development of LNG vehicles in qualified areas according to the characteristics of the city and geographical advantages.
From the current point of view, incentives have been taken in many places. Taking Shenzhen as an example, in order to encourage the use of LNG vehicles in the road freight industry, this year, Shenzhen subsidized the purchase of LNG trucks with a standard of 20,000 yuan per vehicle, plus 15,000 yuan per vehicle subsidized by the Ministry of Communications. The truck will receive a subsidy of 35,000 yuan per vehicle.
It is understood that the national level is expected to introduce the "13th Five-Year Natural Gas Transportation Medium- and Long-Term Development Plan" to make up for the gap in the current top-level design. The pricing guidelines for natural gas pricing will be introduced to further improve the pricing mechanism of the natural gas market and promote the development of LNG vehicles.
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