·Beijing emission reduction will limit the country I car: the goal of eliminating 200,000 old cars

"This year, Beijing's old car elimination target is still more than 200,000 vehicles, the focus is on the national I car and the national II car." On January 17, in the "2015 China Auto Market Development Trend Forum", Beijing Municipal Environmental Protection Agency Motor Vehicle Division Director Li Kunsheng revealed that starting from 2016, Beijing will limit the number of gasoline vehicles under the country I, the main measure is not allowed to enter the six ring.
"This is in line with the policy of completing the elimination of old cars. In addition to the country I, the relevant departments are also studying more than 500,000 National II petrol passenger cars, and gradually adopting measures to reduce pollution after 2016." Li Kunsheng Say.
It is understood that Beijing has already completed the "Reinforcement of Vehicle Emission Reduction to Promote the Retirement of Old Motor Vehicles in the City (2015-2016)". The idea is to promote the combination of economic encouragement and regional prohibition. Old motor vehicles are eliminated and updated to optimize the structure of motor vehicles.
The maximum subsidy for heavy-duty diesel vehicles is nearly 40,000 yuan. In fact, accelerating and increasing the elimination of old cars has become the main means of energy saving and emission reduction in Beijing. By the end of 2014, the number of motor vehicles in Beijing had reached 5.59 million, with annual emissions of 700,000 tons of pollutants. Among the contributions of PM2.5, motor vehicles accounted for 31.1% of local emissions sources in Beijing.
In order to control the rapid growth of the total number of motor vehicles, Beijing has sought to reduce emissions through restrictions on purchases and active promotion of new energy vehicles in recent years, but the effect is not obvious. Dong Yang, executive vice president and secretary general of China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, said in an interview with 21st Century Business Herald that "if we reduce the emission effect of PM2.5 alone, we will promote the economy of 10,000 pure electric vehicles. The cost is not as good as eliminating 100 yellow-label cars."
The current actual case in Beijing is confirming Dong Yang’s point of view. According to Niu Jinming, director of the Beijing New Energy Vehicle Development Promotion Center, in Beijing, a total of 8,050 new energy vehicles were promoted in 2014, with a total promotion of 13,000 vehicles. Although this figure has exceeded the total amount of promotion from 2008 to 2013, compared with the vehicle ownership of nearly 5.6 million vehicles, the contribution of new energy vehicles to reducing PM2.5 is still very small. Its promotion is more about the future.
In the data of the Beijing Municipal Environmental Protection Bureau, the emissions of vehicles below Beijing National III now account for 90% of motor vehicle emissions, and volatile organic compounds account for 77% of motor vehicle emissions. These two substances are the first source of pollution for Beijing's air pollution. Li Kunsheng believes that if the elimination of old cars is increased, it will have a significant effect on Beijing's emission reduction work.
The results of 2014 have already made Beijing see the “power” of eliminating old cars. According to data provided by the Beijing Municipal Environmental Protection Bureau, in 2014, Beijing eliminated 476,000 old vehicles and over-completed the task of eliminating 391,000 old vehicles in the country. It was the first in the country to complete the elimination of yellow-label vehicles. Beijing’s motor vehicle NOx reductions fell by 5%.
In order to continue to keep the number of old vehicles eliminated to more than 200,000 vehicles, the subsidy for the scrapped vehicles of the new scheme has increased by 2,000 yuan to 8,000 yuan on the basis of the original 6,000 yuan, but the government that has transferred the vehicles has also been cancelled. Subsidy.
"At present, more than 300 cities have improved the transfer of used cars into environmental protection standards. Vehicles are difficult to transfer, and the residual value of used cars is declining. The transfer of vehicles may not be able to settle properly. At the same time, the Ministry of Environmental Protection does not encourage pollution transfer. From this perspective, This year's plan canceled the subsidy for the transfer of vehicles, but the subsidy for scrapped vehicles was greatly adjusted to encourage consumers to solve old cars on the spot." Li Kunsheng said.
In addition, the new plan will focus on scrapping heavy-duty diesel vehicles, and increase the incentives for scrapping the car. The maximum subsidy can reach 21,500 yuan. "In the past two years, the principle of scrapping subsidies for old cars is that the Beijing policy and the national policy are selected one by one, and which subsidy is higher, but this year's standard is that the two policies can be superimposed, which means heavy diesel. For the car, the maximum subsidy can be nearly 40,000 yuan." Li Kunsheng said.
The old-fashioned new car market, the increase in the scrapping of old cars in Beijing, has brought a glimmer of hope to this year's capital city. “Actually, since last year, old-for-new, waste-for-new has been leading the sales of new cars.” Yan Jinghui, deputy general manager of Beijing Asian Games Village Auto Market (referred to as Asia).
According to statistics from the Asian city, since 2013, the proportion of new cars in the Asian city has exceeded 60%. In June last year, after receiving a task from the State Council to eliminate 391,000 old motor vehicles, the figure exceeded 70% and reached the highest proportion of 79.1% in December last year.
“The last bus effect of the old car renewal subsidy policy in Beijing, the subsidy measures for scrapping cars and the “small face storm” caused by rumors have accumulated replacement resources for the old-for-new trade, and achieved a new high performance of 37.95% in the new car transaction in Beijing last November. This figure is higher than the national 32.74 percentage points." Yan Jinghui predicted that the proportion of new car replacement sales this year will remain high in the Beijing auto market.
This rare new car growth point has now become a "cake" for the car companies to keep an eye on. “From luxury cars to economic cars, everyone is vying for a replacement market with price concessions.” Yan Jinghui said that since June last year, the range of luxury cars, mid-to-high-end cars and SUVs has increased. Nearly half of the models have preferential measures in replacement sales.
According to data from the Asian city, due to the replacement consumption upgrade, the market share of domestic cars with a displacement of 1.6L or less in the Beijing auto market has dropped from 36.2% in the first quarter of 2012 to 30%, and 1.8L to 2.5L displacement vehicles accounted for The new car sales of 58.47% have become the new dominant in the auto market. This also makes domestic cars under 200,000 yuan dominate consumption in the current Beijing auto market. According to the data from the old and new car elimination platform in Beijing, consumers now choose 59.96% of the models with new cars under 200,000 yuan, of which 36.87% are models with less than 100,000 yuan.
“This year, Beijing’s gasoline vehicle allocation index will decrease by 8.3%, and the replacement sales ratio will increase by at least 5 percentage points. This means that the new car transaction will be more dependent on the growth of used car volume.” Yan Jinghui predicts that a new round of old cars will be eliminated. The update plan will help release nearly one million old cars and push the capital to replace the old ones and replace them with new ones. The competition for new car replacement business will be even more intense.

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