According to Clarkson's statistics, in the first seven months of this year, the world's total dismantling of ships was 28.8 million DWT, a 20% decrease from the same period of last year. This was partly due to the large fluctuations in scrap prices, which led to the more cautious shipbreaking companies to judge the market. China's shipbreaking industry first rises and then declines. Shipbreaking volume in the first quarter increased by 10% year-on-year, 30% year-on-year in the second quarter, and less than 100,000 light tons in July. At the same time, due to the sluggish market and misjudgment of market expectations, those who made the purchase plan have a serious loss, and the more the shipbreaking, the greater the loss.
At the same time, the periodicity, financial costs, high labor costs and expenses of the old ship's purchase and dismantling are also important factors for the company to fall into a loss situation. From booking to ship dismantling, it usually takes 2~3 months. The change in scrap price at the time of purchase and after shipbreaking directly affects the company's benefits. Once it falls, it will lead to a decline in corporate profits and even losses. From January to July, scrap prices have been in a downward trend, sometimes dropping by 150 yuan/ton, and the sluggish price has made the shipbreaking companies miserable.
In recent years, the labor costs of shipbreaking companies have grown rapidly, and the pressure on loans remains the same. At present, the labor cost of enterprises is three to four times that of 2008. The data shows that the basic interest rate of the People's Bank of China for short-term loans has been stable at 5.6% for more than half a year, and most companies buy bank loans mainly for bank loans. Due to the downturn in the scrap steel market, the scrap sales of the company's dismantling are difficult and the return is slow, which has caused huge financial cost pressure on the enterprise.
The scrap price is too low, resulting in a serious backlog of scrap, which makes the company feel more difficult. Some time ago, the China Ship Recycling Association visited some of the shipbreaking enterprises in Guangdong, Jiangsu, Fujian, Zhejiang, Shandong and Liaoning and found that the vast majority of enterprises in this year's shipbreaking have accumulated a large amount of scrap steel, and fewer enterprises have thousands of tons. Enterprises hundreds of thousands of tons. According to incomplete statistics, China's shipbreaking enterprises currently have more than 400,000 tons of scrap. From the development trend of the whole year's shipbreaking industry, experts believe that the total amount of shipbreaking this year will not exceed 2012, and the loss of the entire industry is difficult to change.
Some experts said that from now until the end of the year, the state has strengthened the adjustment of industrial structure such as steel and manufacturing industries, promoted the development of environmental protection industry and energy conservation and emission reduction, urban municipal and rail facilities renovation and construction, and the economic boost in the western region. The reform of investment and financing system, coupled with the government's decentralization of administrative examination and approval authority, and the continuous improvement of domestic demand, China's economy will be in a period of slow recovery growth, the demand for scrap steel will increase, while the downward pressure on prices continues to weaken, but the growth may be substantial. Very small. The stable scrap price level is conducive to the production and operation of shipbreaking enterprises. Now that the international shipping market is still overcapacity and the hulk market is active, experts suggest that shipbreaking companies should make cautious decisions, carefully reserve ships, and do not make major mistakes in their operations. At the same time, they must strengthen and refine internal management, open source and reduce expenditures, and achieve management efficiency. To minimize losses.
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